Keep up with the most recent market trends in our Freshspective updates. Discover what's influencing conventional produce, organic options, temperature-controlled capacity, and floral so you can plan ahead and avoid disruption.
Asparagus supply from Peru and Mexico remains fairly tight, with weather conditions and older fields finishing. Big sizes are non-existent in Peru due to a particularly hotter than normal fall. Local supply in Canada, Michigan, Washington, Indiana, New Jersey, and other states. The north is slowly starting as they have been behind due to colder weather continuing to be prevalent in those regions. With warmer temperatures finally coming in this weekend, local production and yields are expected to improve. This will bring relief to the existing shortage in Peru. Air freight especially is particularly tight due to the fuel shortage and current global conditions.
Conditions are quickly changing in Florida as the crop is officially ending. Volume from Florida is done, and the final harvestings are producing more colored than originally expected. Demand exceeds supply, and we expect pepper to remain short until June 1. Georgia will start in a light way next week, but no major volume.
Broccoli in the Florida/Georgia area will soon be finishing for the season and transitioning to North Carolina. Volume still remains tight in all growing areas.
Florida has finished; Georgia is going strong. There is an abundant supply with good quality. There are deals to be had!
The celery market remains firm and elevated, with availability described as light to fair and not heavy enough to push pricing meaningfully lower. California remains the key driver (notably Oxnard), and recent market notes continue to indicate quality concerns in the background, reinforcing the current price structure. USDA terminal indications also show light offerings and continued firmness on celery hearts, supporting the broader narrative that value‑added/raw supply balance remains tight. Mexican celery remains a supplemental piece of the mix, but volumes appear controlled and are not currently shifting the market tone lower. The near‑term outlook calls for steady to firm conditions, with limited immediate relief anticipated.
Product is still short as Florida is practically done. Georgia is officially starting this week and will bring a much-needed relief to the market. By the middle of next week, we expect good availability from Georgia.
The leaf lettuce market continues to strengthen and remain elevated, with the most significant pressure centered on romaine, especially hearts and value‑added items as supplies stay tight. The spring transition from Yuma, Arizona, into Salinas, California, is underway, and as desert supplies wind down, and crews/equipment settle into new districts, availability and volumes remain inconsistent week to week. Warm temperatures and weather variability are contributing to ongoing quality challenges (including tip/fringe burn, mildew pressure, bruising, and lighter carton weights), which are limiting yields and supporting the firmer market tone. USDA/market commentary continues to reflect fair supply with quality issues and an upward market bias out of Salinas on both leaf and romaine. Mexican imports remain active and help cover some of the demand, but they are largely supplemental rather than corrective, and do not appear to be easing overall market firmness during the transition. Near‑term pricing is expected to stay firm, with volatility persisting until Salinas production fully stabilizes and yields improve.
We are yet to see the much-anticipated volume from Georgia, as cooler and rainy weather has set us back some. We do expect yields to bounce back this week as temperatures are set to be higher. North Carolina is around the corner with a target date of May 25th.
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We are now in the heart of the storage crop season and the early stages of the import season. The storage crop is smaller than last year and therefore many varieties and packs are tighter than last year. As a result, we are seeing a rising market on many varieties, sizes, and packs, and this trend is expected to continue until the new crop starts in August. The most significant item that is down this year is the Gala apples. The latest storage report shows that inventory is down over 20% from last year. This item has really tightened up in the last couple of months, and prices are very high for this time of year. Expect Gala availability and pricing to continue to be tight as there is no relief in sight. The other top varieties that are short this year are the Honeycrisp, Red Delicious, Cosmic Crisp and Golden Delicious. Overall, we are left with a smaller crop than expected and rising prices. With that said, we still have apples to sell and we need to maximize whatever opportunites present themselves. Import apples will also give us some relief as we begin to get steadily increasing supplies each week. Although we don’t expect the import crop to lower prices, we are hoping that it stabilizes prices over the next couple of months.
Texas is main shipping point for Mexican avocados. Supply is good on all sizes except 48s which are tight. California is also harvesting, providing about 20% of the total supply. Quality remains good with some darker color out of Mexico. Offshore (Peru) is about 3-4 weeks away.
Blueberries
The blueberry market continues to correct as additional domestic fruit enters the marketplace. We are currently loading out of California, Georgia, New Jersey, Florida, and Texas, with strong availability across all pack styles and promotable supplies available. Please contact your Robinson Fresh representative for additional information.
Raspberries
Demand for conventional raspberries remains steady, with some variation in FOB pricing, depending on the loading region. Supplies are expected to remain somewhat moderate through May as fruit from Central Mexico, California, and Baja is blended to support overall demand.
Blackberries
Demand for conventional blackberries remains moderate, contributing to ongoing price corrections and daily spot deals in South Texas. Production volumes continue to improve in Central Mexico, with transfers into California to support strawberry loading programs. Specialty packs remain available, and limited inter-shipper trading continues to help meet demand.
Offshore product is wrapping up for the season out of Honduras and Guatemala. New-crop domestic product has started out of the Imperial Valley and greater Phoenix regions. Heavy towards larger fruit to start. Out East Athena cantaloupes in Florida are starting the end of this week/weekend.
Oranges
Mandarins
The grape market is softening as Mexico rapidly increases production while East Coast importers clear remaining inventories. Light retail demand and increased supplier competition are pushing spot prices lower. Mexico expects a large 19-million box crop that must move within a short 8– to 10-week window. California’s Coachella season is beginning but will have limited market impact due to low volume. Most retailers are expected to transition to Mexican grapes by the third week of May, leading to aggressive promotions through May and June.
Offshore honeydews are wrapping up for the season out of Guatemala and Honduras. Continued supply out of Northern Mexico crossing into Nogales. Starting to see domestic honeydew production pick up out of the Imperial Valley and greater Phoenix regions.
Region: Veracruz, Mexico
Weather Update:
A hot and humid climate is expected over the next 10 days, with high temperatures ranging from 90°F a 99°F and lows around 75°F a 79°F. No significant rainfall is anticipated in the coming days; however, a rise in temperatures is expected.
Market Intel:
The market is changing rapidly so please contact the lime team for more information regarding pricing.
Sizing Profile:
Peak sizes are 250/230/200; size distribution: 110-15%, 150-26%, 175-25%, 200-15%, 230-10%, and 250-9%.
Quality:
Moderate winds and a high dew point are expected; therefore, this represents a quality risk over the coming week, as fruit may experience mechanical damage due to wind gusts and physiological injury (oil spots) associated with elevated dew point conditions.
Looking Ahead:
By mid-May, a delay in the development of medium-sized fruit can be observed in orchards due to the lack of rainfall in the area, resulting in a setback in production. By late May and early June, we anticipate moderate production volumes. This crop flowered in December and January; however, delayed fruit growth can be observed due to the lack of soil moisture, resulting in postponed production across the orchards.
As we enter week 20, we are getting closer to finishing the season in Oaxaca. This region still has another two weeks or so depending on the weather. Peak sizing from this region is between 7/8, followed by 9s, Honey mangos from Chiapas are peaking on large sizes 12/14/16. Michoacan’s volume continues to drive the volume, but this region expects lower availability starting next week. Fruit will be available, but costs are expected to go up as supply decreases. Peak sizing from this region is leaning heavy to 12 count, followed by 10 count. Honeys are peaking on large sizes, 12/14/16s.
SUPPLY JUST MEETING DEMAND FOR PAPAYA IN THE USA MARKET.
Supply conditions are slightly better than last week with yields and quality just enough to service demand. Market is slightly higher with lower volume arriving this week into the USA. Internal Mexican market remains strong, keeping the overall availability of fruit exported just right out of Mexico. Supply for at least the next two weeks for papaya production is expected to be tight but still with good quality and good harvest conditions. Prices are slightly higher in the U.S. market but should remain stable through May.
Inventories are showing less availability to offer.
Majority of sizes are between 6-12s with little surplus fruit.
Quality is reported as good with shorter shell life, stem issues, and lower color.
Color 25%- 50% / 12-14 brix at point of shipping. The ideal temperature for Imperial papaya is 48 degrees to avoid quality issues upon receiving.
Crop Outlook: Forecast has conditions for less supply for the next two weeks.
Market Intel: Just enough supply to service demand.
Fruit Condition: Some speckling and some scarring, with mostly clean skin.
We are now shipping pears from Oregon and Washington State, where we are loading Bosc, Anjou pears, and red pears. Overall, we have a fantastic pear crop and will have lots of fruit to promote at good prices throughout the season. The Bosc pears out of the Northwest will be available for another 3 weeks or so. They will be replaced by imports which are beginning to arrive in good quantities into East Coast ports now. The Anjou and red pears are projected to be year-round this year and will be promotable through July. The Bartletts have finished out of the Northwest and there are now new-crop imported Bartletts from Argentina that are available on the East Coast. Pricing and quality are both attractive on this variety and we expect them to remain promotable for the next several months. Overall, the pear category will be very promotable the next couple of months.
Supply Meeting Demand in U.S. Market.
The strawberry market remains firm this week, with limited availability supported by strong demand. Recent heat followed by several days of rainfall have created lingering challenges in plant health, particularly for crops slated for May production. These consecutive weather events are impacting the current harvest, affecting fruit size, maturity, and overall quality. As a result, daily yield volumes are down approximately 30–40%, with larger pack sizes and premium-grade fruit in the shortest supply across both conventional and organic.
California – Growers across all districts continue to navigate quality and sizing challenges while also applying necessary field maintenance during fresh pack harvests. To support plant recovery, many operations are implementing planned harvest pauses. Demand continues to exceed available supply. While daily prorates are showing some improvement, they should still be expected across all loading regions for the foreseeable future.
We have great supplies out of Florida on seedless watermelons. We are starting Northern Florida at the end of the week. Georgia will start in 2 to 3 weeks. Out West, Northen Mexico is starting to wind down. Arizona and Southern California will start in the next couple of weeks. May and June will be a great time to continue to promote watermelons.
We are now shipping organic Gala, Honeycrisp, Cosmic Crisp, Fuji, Granny Smith, and Pink Lady apples out of Washington State. Overall, the organic apple crop is mirroring the conventional crop on both quality and size. The tightest varieties are the organic Gala and the organic Honeycrisp. The most promotable varieties this season look to be the organic Fuji and the organic Pink Lady. Recently, the markets have been tightening on most varieties, and prices have been increasing as a result. Expect this trend to continue over the next couple of months. We expect to have supplies into the summer this season on most varieties. Imports from Argentina and Chile are now arriving at Eastern U.S. ports this week in a small way. This welcome new supply should help to increase availability and stabilize the price over the next couple of months.
California is still the dominant source of organic citrus. The market is shifting as we are starting to see navels and other varieties come to an end. We will start to see Valencia oranges take center stage over the next month. Lemons, though they are currently tight, will start to have more volume in the next month.
The bell pepper and hot pepper supply is still coming out of Mexico, but we are going into a transition period. We will start to see California ramp up supply over the next month. There is still hot house available to keep the colored peppers supplied.
Northern Mexico is winding down on organic minis out of Nogales, Arizona. We will start Arizona organic minis around the first week of June.
Organic onions have become very difficult to find right now. Usually, we will still have supply coming out of the Northwest through May. Unfortunately, that is not the case this year. They finished early and have created a gap. There are still a few onions coming out of California, but most are being kept for contract business, so the open market is very limited. We will start to see some supply coming out of Mexico but mostly yellow and white onions. Until summer onions get going out of California, we will be in a tight market with limited supply.
We have a good organic pear crop out of the Northwest this year and are currently shipping organic Bosc and organic Anjou pears. Supplies are good out of the Northwest on the Anjou, and they will be promotable for the next month. On imports, we now have organic Bartletts arriving from Argentina and Chile. Quality and supplies are good for the next couple of weeks.
With organic Northwest storage crop finished, we are very limited to what is available. Currently, we can get potatoes out of Colorado with Russets and yellows being the main varieties available. We have started to see a few red and yellow potatoes available out of California, but limited supply. We should start to see more new crop potatoes available in mid- to late-May, and volume starting in June. We will also start to see new crop Russets in June.
For the most part, summer squash is currently being supplied out of Mexico; though, the season has been very hard on the growers, and some have pulled the plug on what is left down there. We will start to see better supply coming out of the desert and the Central Valley over the next few weeks with volume starting to ramp up by the end of May. Winter Squash is still being supplied mostly out of Mexico, but we are starting to see domestic supply out of the desert and starting up in the Central Valley in the next month. Butternut and spaghetti are the two main varieties right now.
California is still the dominate supply of organic sweet potatoes. With that, the supply is very tight as we are finishing up the season of storage crop. There is some supply still coming out of North Carolina, but they are very limited in varieties. New crop should start to come in mid-August.
REFRIGERATED TRUCKLOAD
East Coast United States
Across the East Coast, conditions are tightening, particularly in major metro markets. Atlanta and Philadelphia are showing the most pronounced pressure, with load to truck ratios running well above typical levels. Same day freight is moving more slowly and at significantly higher cost, reflecting both tighter capacity and increased carrier selectivity in these lanes.
From a produce perspective, weather disruptions are also influencing seasonal flows. A February freeze delayed harvest timelines in South Florida, pushing back readiness across several product categories. As a result, higher Florida produce volumes are now expected to move in mid to late April, roughly one month later than typical seasonality.
This delayed ramp is likely to compress peak volumes into a shorter window, increasing competition for capacity as produce season accelerates. Shippers with exposure to East Coast metros or Florida outbound lanes may face elevated spot costs and should plan accordingly, particularly for time sensitive or short notice moves.
Central United States
The Upper Midwest remains modestly tight, with rates running above forecast. Capacity is generally available, but pricing continues to be the primary constraint rather than physical availability. Arkansas, Missouri, and Kansas are exhibiting similar conditions, with same day and short notice freight moving at elevated rate levels as carriers price in tighter utilization.
The Dallas market remains both elevated and tight, with costs running higher year over year and above forecasted levels. South Texas is experiencing even more pronounced pressure, with rates at very elevated levels across multiple lanes.
Rising fuel costs and a growing share of freight shifting into the transactional market are having a meaningful impact across these regions. As volumes move away from contracted commitments and into spot or short-term coverage, carriers are increasingly pricing to reflect real time cost exposure, contributing to sustained rate pressure. Shippers operating in these markets may face continued volatility and should plan for higher marginal costs when securing capacity, particularly on time sensitive or irregular moves.
West Coast United States
A similar outlook is emerging on the West Coast, where market conditions remain tight across all major origin points. Los Angeles, Yuma, Nogales, and Washington are all experiencing significant pressure, reflected in notably elevated load to truck ratios. Demand has also been increasing out of California, driven by typical seasonal factors such as cross border produce flows and produce volumes ramping within the state.
Port activity has also increased in recent weeks following the Lunar New Year period in China, which typically results in a post holiday surge in vessel departures. Given transit times to the U.S. West Coast, that activity is now arriving and adding to freight demand.
Rising fuel costs are having an outsized impact in this region, with diesel prices in many West Coast markets over $7 per gallon. These higher fuel inputs are flowing directly into carrier cost structures and are increasingly being reflected in spot and short term pricing.
Looking ahead, tightness in both rates and capacity is expected to persist over the coming weeks. California produce volumes are ramping up as the state’s season begins, and the transition from Yuma to Salinas is set to start shortly. This overlap is likely to intensify competition for capacity on key outbound lanes, particularly for time sensitive freight. Shippers with West Coast exposure may benefit from early planning and flexible routing strategies as seasonal demand and elevated operating costs converge.
GLOBAL UPDATES
OCEAN TRENDS - Global Ocean networks remain structurally constrained, driven by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East rather than demand growth. Most major carriers continue to avoid the Red Sea/Suez Canal, routing Asia–Europe and Asia–U.S. East Coast services around the Cape of Good Hope, adding approximately 10–14 days transit time and absorbing effective vessel capacity. Tightened vessel cycles, elevated bunker costs, and persistent blank sailings are limiting schedule flexibility even as overall demand remains soft to stable post–Lunar New Year. Carriers continue to manage capacity actively, resulting in inconsistent space availability and shorter rate validity windows despite largely stable base rates. Reefer demand remains resilient, particularly from Latin America, with equipment imbalances persisting through peak produce season
TARIFF IMPACTS - On February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not authorize tariff actions, invalidating all IEEPA based duties imposed since 2025 and ending collection effective February 24, 2026. U.S. Customs and Border Protection is implementing an administrative refund process through its new CAPE module in ACE, with refunds expected to roll out in phases and timing dependent on liquidation status. Simultaneously, the Administration imposed a temporary 10% global tariff under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, effective February 24, 2026, which is statutorily limited to 150 days and set to expire July 24, 2026, unless extended by Congress.
DEMURRAGE/DETENTION CHARGES - Following a D.C. Circuit decision on September 23, 2025, the Federal Maritime Commission removed 46 CFR 541.4 (the "properly issued invoices" provision) from its Demurrage and Detention Billing Requirements. All other requirements remain in effect (invoice data elements, 30-day issuance deadline, and dispute windows).
REGULATORY & COMPLIANCE LANDSCAPE - The FDA updated its General Food Labeling Compliance Program (CP 7321.005) to align inspections with current allergen and labeling rules. Separately, FSMA 204 (Food Traceability Rule) compliance was proposed to be extended, and Congress directed the FDA not to enforce the rule before July 20, 2028; however, many retailers are already requiring end-to-end traceability across broader product sets and faster timelines than the FDA’s baseline.
ISPM-15 WOOD PACKAGING PROTOCOLS (UPDATED 2026) - Effective January 1, 2026, APHIS and CBP resumed full enforcement of the ISPM-15 hyphen requirement in the IPPC mark (hyphen between country code and producer code). No soft enforcement period was provided. Noncompliant WPM may be held, re-exported, or penalized.
For more global freight insights, please visit Global Freight Markets Insights | C.H. Robinson (https://www.chrobinson.com/en-us/resources/insights-and-advisories/global-forwarding-insights/)
Product availability is adequate out of both growing regions after Mother's Day shipping. Fuel and its elevated cost will be the biggest hurdle for importers. On the inland side, road check week is putting pressure on the capacity side.