Freshspective

Wednesday, May 7, 2024 | Issue 144

Keep up with the most recent market trends in our Freshspective updates. Discover what's influencing conventional produce, organic options, temperature controlled capacity, and floral so you can plan ahead and avoid disruption.

Conventional Vegetables

Asparagus . Bell Peppers . Broccoli . Cabbage . Celery . Cucumbers . Greens . Leaf Lettuce . Potatoes . Squash . Sweet Corn

 

Asparagus

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Mexican asparagus from Caborca is ending. Volume will be primarily satisfied from Peru. Markets are soft but likely to strengthen leading up to the Mother's Day holiday.

 

 

Bell Peppers

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Florida continues to have product, but we are on the tail end of the deal.   Elevated temperatures are starting to produce a considerable number of off-grades (suntan, misshapen).  California remains steady but yields will depend on how quickly the temperatures rise.  The good news is that some folks in Georgia are scheduled to start cleaning some of the early plantings by the end of the week.  Let us not get ahead ourselves, as this will be a small volume, but a great outlook for the upcoming weeks.   

 

Broccoli

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Limited volume of broccoli in Georgia as fields have been uneven. The Carolinas will start producing soon and California and Texas have good supplies. 

 

Cabbage

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Plenty of supply on green cabbage available in the various growing regions. Many deals to be had! Red and Savoy are also available.

Celery supplies are more limited to start this week. The primary shipping location is currently Oxnard with Salinas and Santa Maria set to start in early June. Please reach out to your Robinson Fresh salesperson for pricing and availability. 

 

Cucumbers

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 Georgia looks to be in full production by the end of this week.   Florida remains in the mix, while Nogales is quickly coming to an end.           

 

Greens

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Good supply and quality on all flavors of greens!  We expect to continue to see these good supplies until early June. See your Robinson Fresh Representative today! 

 

Leaf Lettuce

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Leaf and iceberg lettuce supplies remain tight this week. Overall quality is fair with some insect damage and soil disease reported. The primary shipping locations are currently Santa Maria and Salinas. 

 

Potatoes

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Northern Florida is into volume with reds, whites, and golds.  Quality is excellent and pricing has settled down.  South Florida is mostly cleaned up but there are still lots of russets out of Idaho.  

Georgia is in full force and squash is looking amazing!   Florida’s season is not over, and they continue to be in the mix.  Weather permitting, Georgia will be in steady volume until middle/end of June.  

 

Sweet Corn

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Florida and California have good volume and excellent quality as we move into the first holiday of the summer. Georgia will start producing toward the middle of May. 
  

 

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Insights to Action

Get the latest insights in retail activations and commodity trends!

Conventional Fruits

Apples . Avocados . Bush Berries . Cantaloupe . Citrus . Grapes . Honeydew . Limes . Mangos . Papaya . Pears . Pineapple . Strawberries . Watermelon

Apples

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As we enter the first half of May, we are still in a pretty good supply situation with apples out of Washington. We still have good supplies of apples in storage for most varieties. Many varieties remain very promotable, and growers are actively pushing for advertisements on many of these varieties. There are a few varieties and packs that have tightened a little and are showing some price increases. The items that are firming up are mostly Gala packs, but especially the 88 size and larger. Also, the Honeycrisp are starting to show some tightening on some of the sizes and grades but particularly the premium high-color fruit.  Overall, we still have a large crop of apples to sell, and I expect to see attractive pricing on most varieties into the summer months this year. Regarding imports this season, the product is now arriving in larger volumes this week. The crop is reported to be down a little this year, but the quality is reported to be good.  

 

Avocados

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After four straight weeks of 1,200 plus containers of pre-Cinco de Mayo shipments, Mexico slowed down to only 927 containers last week. We see higher oil content and an increase of Negra fruit as we continue into the end of the season in June.  Availability and willingness to cut remain high and pricing per kilo ensures that the flow of avocados through the end of the season will be steady.      
•    Loca crop will be available prior to July 1st if dry matter reaches 24% before that date.  Japan and Canada will allow 21% and shipments to those countries has already started in Jalisco.
•    Supply and quality of fruit are excellent!
•    Some stressed fruit in many regions which is not going to be able to be shipped to the U.S. as fruit shows low PSI on the trees.

California-Colombia-Chile-Peru

They may contribute slightly; they combine for less than 25% of the total volume coming into the U.S.
•    Mexico 76%
•    California 21%
•    Colombia 1%
•    Peru 1%
•    Others 1%

 

Bush Berries

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Blueberries - Good supplies out of Georgia again this week with good production and lower than expected demand. Transition to North Carolina will begin around May 20th. We are starting to see production on the West Coast beginning with the California Valley. Expect good supplies to continue through May on blueberries on both coasts.

Blackberries - Even with lowered supplies post-peak, demand is still off and still a promotable item for May. Quality has been very nice with higher-elevation fruit being the dominate inbound. Good production and supply are expected through May.

Raspberries - A tiered market is starting to show up on raspberries between quality and availability by farmer. This may continue through the next two weeks. Higher priced fruit has meant better quality but, more importantly, consistent crossings. Hopefully, more production will be coming in the end of this week into next week, which will simplify this back into one general market price again.

Cantaloupe

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The offshore/import cantaloupe shippers will be bringing in their final containers this week to the East and West Coasts. Initially, domestic cantaloupe shippers out of Yuma, Arizona were anticipating starting harvest this week but due to cooler than normal temperatures the past week,  the first harvests will not be seen until the week of May 13th. Volume will become more readily available the last week of May and will be primarily 9 count and Jumbo 9 count.


Citrus

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California Citrus:

Oranges: The crop is peaking on larger fruit and there are deals to be had on 36, 40, and 48-count Navels.  Quality remains nice with good eating characteristics.  
More and more packing houses have started production on Valencias. These things taste great and have a ton of juice!  Small sizes are going to be tight throughout the summer as 72 count and larger will have the best prices and availability.  

Cara Cara Oranges: Caras are still in production and you will see shipping through the end of May. The crop is heavier to choice and would be best suited in bags.

Lemons: The lemon market has been steadily getting tighter out of California as we are starting to see District 1 fruit with quality concerns.  District 2 has been in production, but the focus here will be for better quality which will continue to put pressure on prices until Argentina starts on the East Coast.

Grapefruit: California is currently producing the Star Ruby variety which will go through June, peaking on larger fruit (32/36/27 counts).  Quality is showing nice blush with a nice internal color and flavor.

 

Import Citrus:

Mandarins: We will start to see early Peruvian varieties (Satsumas and Primosoles) in the market which could serve a value need. 

Lemons: It has been a slower start from Argentina due to rain in the growing region. We will be starting to load out of Argentina this week and will see availability in the Northeast as soon as week 20.  The lemon crop in Argentina is still peaking on larger fruit, so we will continue to see strong markets on smaller fruit.

 

Grapes

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Chile’s Autumn Crisp and other premium varieties are currently topping the market for both price and quality. Importers are struggling with inconsistent condition on all other varieties and the fumigation process is certainly impacting shelf life. There is a wide range of pricing, as marketers offer aggressive FOBs to move through weaker lots that just can’t hold long term. Regional terminal markets are filled with distressed fruit and Canada can’t absorb the volume of fruit that has failed USDA 8E inspections. Expect these trends to continue until we finally transition fully to Mexican supplies by the end of May.

 

Honeydew

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Offshore honeydews are very light and similar to cantaloupe, are at the very end of their season. Mexican honeydews are continuing to be harvested out of North Mexico which will continue through the month of May. Markets have been depressed on honeydews with very light demand. Some growers are either trying to push out harvests or leaving fruit in the field due to market conditions. Domestic honeydews will follow cantaloupe harvests, typically starting about one to two weeks later. 

 

Limes

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The demand for limes has been steady. According to the USDA, the crossings through Texas from last week were at 506.

 
 

Mangos

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As we enter week 19, the market is saturated with small fruit--10/12 red mangos--and we are now seeing more medium to large fruit 9’s and larger. As supply increases on small fruit, we are starting to see more larger sizes become available. The market on small fruit continues to drop this week and many shippers are restricting shipments until inventory levels are cleaned up. As Oaxaca has another week or two left in the season, we are hitting the peak of Michoacan’s supply and this supply will keep increasing through May. 


 

Papaya

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SUPPLY NOT MEETING DEMAND FOR PAPAYA IN THE U.S. MARKET.
Supply conditions remain tight but improving, with some surplus product reported on small fruit. Prices have come down slightly in the U.S. market with crop yields in Mexico reacting better to the warmer weather. Weather conditions in Mexico are improving with yields increasing slowly, improving the forecast for the next few weeks. Inventories remain SOLD OUT, but there’s some small fruit to offer for transactional sales. Prices in Mexico are expected to remain high, keeping the lion’s share of the fruit in the local Mexican market and reducing the overall availability of papaya for the U.S. Growers will continue working on securing good quality product to keep up with U.S. demand.  Pricing is high but lower than previous weeks, with supply NOT meeting demand in the U.S. market. Most sizes are between 12 to 16, with NO Surplus in ANY caliber. Quality is reported as good, with fruit showing clean skin and little scarring; a bit more speckling has been seen on the latest arrivals. The crop outlook is for tight supply for the next two weeks.

 
 

Pears

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We are currently shipping both green and red Anjou pears out of the Northwest this week. The market on Anjou pears has tightened up significantly over the last month and prices have jumped up as a result. The movement on Anjou has been exceptionally strong this year and we will see higher prices from now until the crop finishes sometime this summer. The tightest fruit is the high-quality large fruit which will become scarcer as the year goes on. The Bartlett pears have finished out of Washington, but we now have imported Bartlett pears arriving at East Coast ports this week. The Bosc pear crop is now finished out of Washington, but there are imports arriving from Chile and Argentina, available on the East Coast. Overall, expect to see higher prices than last year on pears for the remainder of the summer.

 

Pineapple

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Supply is NOT meeting demand for the U.S. Market

MEXICAN volume is improving with better weather at the growing fields. Most of the country’s production is still being sold internally with a good market in Mexico helped by a strong Mexican peso. As supply improves, Mexican growers will still look at the U.S. market as best outlet to place their crop as they weigh the pros and cons of exporting their product. Transportation out of Mexico is currently stable with better availability of trucks to service pineapple shippers. 
•    Mexican fruit quality is meeting U.S. specifications with GOOD internal condition and high brix. Prices are high on all counts out of Mexico and Costa Rica.
•    Quality & Condition: Mexico has good fruit condition with high brix.  Larger fruit is most abundant. The weather is good for pineapple production.

COSTA RICA volume remains low AT PACKING with the expectation of improvement in the last weeks of May. NO surplus fruit available to pack at this time. The U.S. market remains high on all counts with supply NOT meeting demand. Costa Rica is under mixed sunny to rainy conditions with some fair weather expected this week.
•    Quality & Condition: Costa Rica’s quality is reported as good with the sizing curve mostly on smaller fruit.  
•    Movement: USDA showing a low number of loads crossing with 1,000 containers crossing FROM Costa Rica for the entire continental USA. This continues to be a low number for this time of year. 
•    Forecast: Some surplus fruit is available at specific shipping points offered by large grower/shippers at this time. The market is higher with good demand this week. 

 
 

Strawberries

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California/Baja - Increased supplies are available due to increased production in Santa Maria and the Salinas/Watsonville growing areas.  Post-Mother’s Day strawberries will be highly promotable.  Oxnard will discontinue production after Mother’s Day and although Baja will continue harvest through May, the plants are past their peak. California and Baja fruit have occasional bruising, light shoulders, green tips, and misshapen.  There is medium sizing on older fruit, and Santa Maria new crop is much larger.  

California/Santa Maria for the week of May 6th  is forecast Wednesday through Saturday to be mostly sunny, becoming partly cloudy on Sunday.  Highs are expected in the upper 60s to low 70s, decreasing to the mid-60s on Sunday and lows in the 40s.  The week of May 13th is forecast to be partly sunny Monday through Saturday, then becoming partly cloudy on Sunday. Highs are expected in the 60s, increasing to the 70s on Sunday, and lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Salinas/Watsonville for the week of May 6th is forecast for Wednesday and Thursday to be sunny, then becoming partly sunny Friday through Sunday.  Highs are expected in the low 70s and lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. The week of May 13th  is forecast to be partly sunny with highs in the 60s and lows in the upper 40s to low 50s.

 
 

Watermelon

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California/Baja - Increased supplies are available due to increased production in Santa Maria and the Salinas/Watsonville growing areas.  Post-Mother’s Day strawberries will be highly promotable.  Oxnard will discontinue production after Mother’s Day and although Baja will continue harvest through May, the plants are past their peak. California and Baja fruit have occasional bruising, light shoulders, green tips, and misshapen.  There is medium sizing on older fruit, and Santa Maria new crop is much larger.  

California/Santa Maria for the week of May 6th  is forecast Wednesday through Saturday to be mostly sunny, becoming partly cloudy on Sunday.  Highs are expected in the upper 60s to low 70s, decreasing to the mid-60s on Sunday and lows in the 40s.  The week of May 13th is forecast to be partly sunny Monday through Saturday, then becoming partly cloudy on Sunday. Highs are expected in the 60s, increasing to the 70s on Sunday, and lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Salinas/Watsonville for the week of May 6th is forecast for Wednesday and Thursday to be sunny, then becoming partly sunny Friday through Sunday.  Highs are expected in the low 70s and lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. The week of May 13th  is forecast to be partly sunny with highs in the 60s and lows in the upper 40s to low 50s.

 

Organic Fruits & Vegetables

Organic Apples . Organic Dry Vegetables . Organic Melons . Organic Onions . Organic Pears . Organic Potatoes . Organic Squash . Organic Sweet Potatoes

 

Organic Apples

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We had a large crop of organic apples this year for most varieties. There are decent supplies in storage of organic Gala, organic Granny, and organic Fuji, as well as other less popular varieties. The organic Pinks did have some freeze damage at the end of the year, so supplies of this variety will be less as we enter summer. Overall, we have good supplies and great quality on the organics this year, which gives us a great opportunity to grow this category this season.

 

Organic Dry Vegetables

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Growing regions are changing down in Mexico so we are seeing some gaps on certain items.  Markets remain high and we are not going to see that change for a while.
 

 

Organic Melons

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Organic minis continue to ship from Northern Mexico into Nogales.  We will have good supplies for the next few weeks.  We are peaking on 6, 8, and 9 counts.  

 

Organic Onions

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The organic onion market continues to be very tight.  We are still seeing some onions come out of Mexico, but supply is limited.  We will start to see more onions become available out of California over the next month. Until then, expect markets to remain high.

 

Organic Pears

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We still have some supplies of organic Anjou out of the Northwest this week and the quality is still good. Organic Bartletts are finished out of Washington, but we are now seeing good volumes of imported organic Bartletts arriving from Argentina this week. The quality is reported to be good this season on imports.

 

Organic Potatoes

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We are still getting a good supply of organic potatoes coming from Washington and Colorado.  Quality on the russets and yellows are holding up but the reds are rough.  We will start to see colored potatoes out of California over the next 2 to 3 weeks, but the market will be high on those.  The markets out of Washington and Colorado are fairly priced right now.
 

Organic Squash

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Hard squash is still coming out of Mexico, but we are in a little gab currently due to changing growing regions.  We will start to see more supply available out of California over the next few weeks.  Our Tobias Farms program is being planted and will be ready for harvest in late August.  .  

 

Organic Sweet Potatoes

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California sweet potatoes are still going strong, though the market has continued to firm up as supply tightens some.  We are starting to see certain sizes, i.e., mediums/jumbos, needing a few days to cover orders as they are not readily available day to day.

Transportation

Market cycle conditions remained soft as we entered April, but there are signs of volume increases as the produce season ramps up. While we expect the overall impact to remain fairly muted due to general market cycle weakness, there will be pockets of tightness. To combat this, work with your account team to provide visibility to supply chain needs so they can build the proper lead time and flexibility into the loads.
 
East Coast – Throughout the East Coast, loads continue to move with a high level of velocity. Produce season has started in South Florida with select commodities. We should see it in full swing from May through July.  We’re not expecting significant issues with coverage.
Central U.S. – Capacity markets through the Mid-North and Mid-South regions remain soft. No foreseeable disruptions through June. South Texas produce season will begin in the coming weeks; but due to the market softness, we don’t expect overwhelmingly large cost increases.
West Coast – The Pacific Northwest has moved beyond any weather disruptions and capacity is available. There was some slight tension through the Easter holiday, but nothing lasting. Transition season is in full swing as harvesting moves from Arizona to the Salinas, California region. Work with your C.H. Robinson team to stay informed on regionalized opportunities and how to best schedule freight to capitalize on the best price and service.

 

GLOBAL UPDATES 

PANAMA CANAL - The Panama Canal is facing challenges due to both delays and drought, impacting operations. The drought has caused water levels in the canal to drop, making it difficult for vessels to pass through efficiently.  

Recently, shippers have noticed a reduction in disruptions caused by low water levels along the Panama Canal. Carriers are resuming transits through the waterway for certain east-west services, and they are also exploring alternative options to transport cargo. 

 

PORT OF SAVANNAH - In October, the Port of Savannah experienced robust activity, handling 449,000 TEUs, marking its fourth busiest month on record and registering a notable 5% increase compared to the same month in 2019, which was unaffected by the pandemic. This growth suggests that the Port of Savannah is not only handling increased overall cargo but is also strategically investing in infrastructure to accommodate the specific needs of the fresh produce sector. With a focus on facilitating trade and improving efficiency, the Port of Savannah aims to provide a more conducive environment for handling perishable goods. The expansion aligns with broader efforts to meet growing demands and underscores the port's commitment to maintaining its status as a key gateway for imports, offering world-class services to its customers. This development is likely to have positive implications for the agricultural and perishable goods industry, fostering smoother and more reliable transportation of produce through the port. As the Port of Savannah continues to invest in its infrastructure and capacity, stakeholders in the produce import sector can anticipate improved handling processes, reduced bottlenecks, and an overall more streamlined experience. The expansion not only reflects the port's adaptability to growing trade volumes but also signals a commitment to meeting the specialized needs of industries such as fresh produce, contributing to the port's significance as a vital trade hub in the region. 

 

OCEAN CARRIER CONSOLIDATION - Fresh produce growers and shippers attempting to move cargo globally via ocean vessels are dealing with scenarios where ocean carriers genuinely dictate some markets.  They dictate and determine the marketability and viability of export markets for many fresh produce exporters.  Shippers are being forced to commit earlier to ocean lines to reserve space for upcoming seasons, and spot-market space on vessels is nearly impossible to secure. 

 

RED SEA SHIPPING CRISIS – Hundreds of ships are currently diverting around Africa to avoid attacks in the Red Sea, causing delays to global trade and inflicting months of disruption and imminent price rises on supplies. Crisis has led to double insurance costs and soaring demands for security services, which has raised prices and affected availability of fresh produce from Africa and Australia.  

 

DEMURRAGE/DETENTION CHARGES -  Shippers negotiating with ocean carriers or freight forwarders on perishable cargo contracts should request as much free time at destination as possible to reduce the risk of detention/demurrage charges when inspections/fumigations or drayage capacity constraints delay cargo delivery at destination.  Unavoidable and unprecedented demurrage and detention charges due to delays in turning cargo at destination continue in 2024. 

 

For more global freight insights please visit Global Freight Markets Insights | C.H. Robinson (https://www.chrobinson.com/en-us/resources/insights-and-advisories/global-forwarding-insights/

Floral

Mother’s Day is in full swing with last loads being delivered to retailers up until May 10th.  Capacity in the South Florida market is still tight.  It should improve toward the end of the week.